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Wednesday 17 September 2008

Darts – Is it f***ing Random?


Greetings Bad Boys, darts fans and all those folks who land on the BBDC blog expecting to findporn rather than the results service of a Gloucestershire darts club!

‘Twas a grand evening (for some) on Tuesday night. The evening kicked off with five bad boys handling a one flip of the flipometers to determine teams. They were Pete and Casablanca Mike  ‘v’ Mike-D, Papa and Ian. We knew Doddy would be a few minutes late so we started with the Big D joining Pete and CM after the first few rounds.

Now, you would have thought that the evening would be very close, well matched teams, veterans on both sides; however it was not to be, yes my humble readers it hurts me to tell you it was a whitewash (hurts as in my fingers got jammed in the keyboard stabbing our victory stats in to excel)!

On a serious note folks I have to say that the final score line was PCMD 123456 / W JAPI

This (certainly for me) was totally unexpected, why did it happen? Well randomness is a wonderful thing and sometimes a complete bitch. The bottom line was that Ian, Papa and JA just didn’t play their best darts and all happened to be on the same team.

JA mentioned that after this evening his recent tally was only one game won in the last 18 played. Now I reckon that truly is bad luck, mostly because the last three results that he played in have definitely had clear winners, but fear not!

A quick look at the cumulative chart will show you that this isn’t an unusual phenomenon. This year’s chart shows that you can have good or bad patches running from weeks to months!

A Prime example is Dave, who is traditionally a top three player and has often made second and first place, however this year he appears to have started on a high, dropped and not recovered (so far).

Doddy started the year well, nosedived and looked like he would stay there, but is now well on the way to recovery. Papa also had a bad start to the year but recently (tonight excluded) has been finding form again.

Basically look at any player on the graph and you will see peaks and troughs. You should also always remember that the more times you play the less drastic the ups and downs will be as they are an average of all games played. This means that Ian’s and my lines look less lumpy as time goes on because the more games we play the less our averages tend to move.

Notable events:

Bull Finishes were almost the order of the day. Semi finishes were out of fashion tonight. Bull / Semi finishes also had a showing.

Loads of trebles! Doddy had a hatful of them, some were unkind enough to suggest they were random, but by the third T20 nothing more was said, particularly when teamed with a T18 (MOTM goes to Doddy for the second week running)!

Papa was having some trouble with his first darts hitting targets, but never his third! Several times after chucking a couple without a result he would throw the third at another target and bang it straight in the treble!

Ian didn’t kill anything that wasn’t on the board.

Bull Wars: CM 3, Pete 2, Doddy 1, Ian 1 JA 1.

Chart Changes: Fares Please!

Doddy moves up two places between Steve and Papa. Casablanca Mike leaps up nearly 3% overtaking Dave and challenging Ian with only a sliver over 0.5% between them!

Game On!

 

Peter x